Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.026289 0.031521 0.037000 0.043123 0.049738 0.056633 0.064329
2025-11-16 0.016568 0.023570 0.031492 0.040910 0.051620 0.063266 0.076747
2025-11-23 0.010700 0.018294 0.027574 0.039221 0.053020 0.068504 0.086885
2025-11-30 0.007766 0.015793 0.026282 0.040016 0.056780 0.075999 0.099193
2025-12-07 0.005789 0.014051 0.025555 0.041180 0.060715 0.083489 0.111317
2025-12-14 0.004531 0.013028 0.025549 0.043067 0.065384 0.091727 0.124215
2025-12-21 0.003248 0.011601 0.024758 0.043770 0.068466 0.097988 0.134726
2025-12-28 0.002987 0.011910 0.026418 0.047687 0.075544 0.109024 0.150842
2026-01-04 0.001734 0.009850 0.024323 0.046379 0.075897 0.111853 0.157187
2026-01-11 0.001160 0.008971 0.023909 0.047282 0.079007 0.117983 0.167414
2026-01-18 0.000662 0.007946 0.023116 0.047558 0.081238 0.122989 0.176259
2026-01-25 0.000324 0.007047 0.022406 0.047872 0.083463 0.127945 0.185011
2026-02-01 0.000085 0.006022 0.021405 0.047801 0.085295 0.132593 0.193641
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004551 0.019292 0.045917 0.084611 0.134045 0.198375
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003350 0.017401 0.044200 0.084041 0.135563 0.203131
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002948 0.017162 0.045060 0.087007 0.141573 0.213400
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002675 0.017173 0.046300 0.090490 0.148242 0.224480
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002593 0.017648 0.048305 0.095053 0.156305 0.237293
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002261 0.017390 0.049052 0.097814 0.162028 0.247196
2026-03-22 NaN 0.002634 0.019125 0.053203 0.105448 0.174089 0.264999
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001920 0.017651 0.051817 0.105130 0.175796 0.269892
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001700 0.017551 0.052774 0.108161 0.181855 0.280208
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001400 0.017094 0.053067 0.110211 0.186617 0.288895